Hourly Air Quality and Pollution Forecast
Forecasting PM2.5 and Ozone AQI

分享: aqicn.org/forecast/hk/

Air Quality Forecasting - also referred as "Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling" (wikipedia) is the art of simulating how air pollutants, such as PM2.5 or Ozone, disperse in the ambient atmosphere.

The result of the simulation gives the ambient concentration for each air pollutants, from which the Air Quality Index can be calculated.

There are dozens of dispersion models and many universities and institutions around the world are running one or several of them for different regions (eg Europe, Continental US, Asia ...). Below is a non-exhaustive and selected list of few models which are being used for providing Air Quality forecast on the "World Air Quality Index" project.

Atmospheric Models

You can click on any of the forecast map to see the real-time forecast animation, as well as the model efficiency analysis.

SPRINTARS Asia
Spectral Radiation-Transport Model for Aerosol Species
SPRINTARS East Asia
Spectral Radiation-Transport Model for Aerosol Species
MPIM China
Max Planck Institut fur Meteorologie
SILAM Asia
System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition
CAMS Europe
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service NRT
EMEP Europe
European Monitoring and Evaluation Program
CAMS World
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service NRT
SILAM World
System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition
NGAC
NOAA NEMS GFS Aerosol Component
GFS
Global Forecast System
NCEP EMP AQM
Air Quality Model (AQM) Product
BSC DREAM8b
Barcelona Supercomputing Center DREAM8b

Note

Please note that all above analysis are done on the World Air Quality Index project own budget.

We did not receive any subsidies from any of the intuitions publishing Air Quality forecast models.

We need your help

Help is needed for keeping the world-wide Air Quality forecast model inventory up-to-date.

  • Do you know any model not listed below but for which gridded data is available?
  • Do you know better accuracy analysis solutions which should be used here?
  • Have you done a similar research and you would like to publish it here?
  • If yes, drop us a message from the contribute page and we will contact you asap!

    Detailed City Air Quality Forecast

    Detailed Air Quality Forecast is available for more than 600 cities:

    Or just pick any of those cities:

    北京, 上海, 成都, 沉陽, 深圳, 廣州, 青島, 西安, 天津, 埼玉, 京都, 大阪市, 首爾特別市, 釜山廣域市, Bogota, Delhi, Jakarta, Ulaanbaatar, Hanoi, Chennai, Kolkata, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Santiago, Lima, Saopaulo, Quito, Singapore, Kuala-lumpur, 怡保, Perai, 美裡, 紐約, Seattle, Chicago, 波士頓, Atlanta.

    Disclaimer

    This forecasting model, and all AQFS which it is based on, are research products intended to provide information related to Air Quality forecast. All reasonable measures have been taken to ensure its quality and accuracy. However:

    • We do not make warranty, express or implied, nor assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, correctness, completeness of the information.
    • We do not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any damage or loss that may directly or indirectly result from any information contained on this website or any actions taken as a result of the content of this website;
    • We may change, delete, add to, or otherwise amend information contained on this website without notice

    For more information about the underlying concepts of Air Quality forecasting (or Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling), check the article on a visual study of wind impact of PM2.5 concentration.

    Air Quality Forecast Model Sources

    The above prediction is based on composite meta model, computed using several Air Quality Forecasting Systems (AQFS):

    The above map is based on the PM2.5 surface level modeling, and colors are following the US EPA AQI standard.

    關於空氣質量與空氣污染指數

    本網站採用的污染指數和顏色與EPA是完全相同的。 EPA的指數可以從 AirNow上查到

    空气质量指数 空气质量指数级别(状况)及表示颜色 对健康影响情况 建议采取的措施
    0 - 50 一级(优) 空气质量令人满意,基本无空气污染 各类人群可正常活动
    51 -100 二级(良) 空气质量可接受,但某些污染物可能对极少数异常敏感人群健康有较弱影响 极少数异常敏感人群应减少户外活动
    101-150 三级(轻度污染) 易感人群症状有轻度加剧,健康人群出现刺激症状 儿童、老年人及心脏病、呼吸系统疾病患者应减少长时间、高强度的户外锻炼
    151-200 四级(中度污染) 进一步加剧易感人群症状,可能对健康人群心脏、呼吸系统有影响 儿童、老年人及心脏病、呼吸系统疾病患者避免长时间、高强度的户外锻炼,一般人群适量减少户外运动
    201-300 五级(重度污染) 心脏病和肺病患者症状显著加剧,运动耐受力降低,健康人群普遍出现症状 儿童、老年人及心脏病、肺病患者应停留在室内,停止户外运动,一般人群减少户外运动
    300+ 六级(严重污染) 健康人群运动耐受力降低,有明显强烈症状,提前出现某些疾病 儿童、老年人和病人应停留在室内,避免体力消耗,一般人群避免户外活动
    (参考详见 http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/空气质量指数)

    如果你想了解更多有關空氣質量與污染,詳見維基百科或者 AirNow

    有關健康建議詳​​見北京的Richard Saint Cyr MD醫生的博客:www.myhealthbeijing.com


    注意事項: 所有空氣品質數據在發佈時均未經驗證,且為了確保資料準確性,這些數據可能隨時被修改,恕不另行通知。 世界空氣品質指數專案在編制這些訊息內容時已經謹慎的運用了所有適當的技巧,在任何情況下世界空氣品質指數 在任何情況下,世界空氣品質指數專案團隊或其代理人均不對因提供此數據而直接或間接引起的任何損失、傷害或損害來承擔契約、侵權或其他責任。



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